In this “Fireside Chat,” Gavyn Davies, Founder and Executive Chairman and Dan Wales, Director, Economic Research, discuss the following:
- President Trump’s economic team are united behind the need for higher tariffs
- But nuances exist, particularly for the second, de-escalation, phase
- Tariff increases could begin immediately after inauguration
- The economic impact is likely to resemble a classical negative supply shock
- So far, the market has been forgiving. But the Fed’s response could change sentiment
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